My 2020 Publications and Talks

Colorful 2020 - 3D rendering

Updated: 11 Sept 2020

All my 2020 publications, after the break …

Academic Papers

Pielke, Roger, Catastrophes of the 21st Century (July 25, 2020). Available at SSRN:

Burgess, M. G., Langendorf, R. E., Ippolito, T., & Pielke, R., Jr. (2020, July 9). Optimistically biased economic growth forecasts and negatively skewed annual variation.

Pielke, Jr., R. 2021 (in press). Economic “Normalization” of Disaster Losses 1998-2020: A Literature Review and Assessment, Environmental Hazards. (Twitter thread)

Saltelli, A., et al. (2020). Five ways to ensure that models serve society: a manifesto. Nature.

Pielke Jr, R., D. Collins, R. Crompton, P. Klotzbach, R. Musulin & J. Weinkle, 2020. Reply to: Improving normalized hurricane damages, Nature Sustainability, 8 June. (A reply to Martinez 2020)

Pielke, R. and Ritchie, J., Systemic Misuse of Scenarios in Climate Research and Assessment (April 21, 2020). Available at SSRN: or

Burgess, M. G., J. Ritchie, J. Shapland, and R. Pielke, Jr. 2020. “IPCC Baseline Scenarios Over-project CO2 Emissions and Economic Growth.” SocArXiv. February 18. doi:10.31235/

Commentary and Opinion

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. Caster Semenya Case Exposes Design Flaws in International Sports Governance, Asser International Sports Law Blog, 10 September.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. The Mudfight Over ‘Wild-Ass’ Covid Numbers Is Pathological, WIRED, 22 April.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. Fealty Trumps Truth, 19 April.

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. Did the Trump Administration Delay the WHO Emergency Declaration? 15 April.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. Eight Weeks Behind: Clarifying the Early U.S. Coronavirus Testing Failure, 13 April.

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. Why Isn’t the White House Using the Nation’s Pandemic Experts? Slate, 10 April.

Forbes Energy Columns

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. How Billionaires Tom Steyer And Michael Bloomberg Corrupted Climate Science, Forbes, 2 January.

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. Three Rules for Accepting “Event Attribution” Studies, Forbes, 6 January.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. The Inconvenient Facts on Australian Bushfires, Forbes, 14 January.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. The Best News on Climate You’ve Never Heard, Forbes, 18 January.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. Why You Can’t Trust The Insurance Industry’s Secret Science On Climate Catastrophes, Forbes, 25 January.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. Understanding the Great Climate Science Scenario Debate, Forbes, 3 February.

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. How Academic ‘Blacklists’ Impede Serious Work On Climate Science, Forbes, 9 February.

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. Good News And Bad News As Carbon Dioxide Emissions Grow More Slowly Than Models Predict, Forbes, 18 February.

Forbes Sports Columns

Pielke, Jr. R. 2020. On Par With Doping: The First Person To Miss The Olympics For Wearing The Wrong Shoes, Forbes, 21 January.

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. The Decline of Football is Real and It’s Accelerating, Forbes, 25 January.

Pielke, Jr., R. 2020. How Universities Are Changing Their Approach To Recruiting Student Athletes With Troubled Pasts, Forbes, 11 February.

Selected Talks

Canceled due to Coronavirus

One thought on “My 2020 Publications and Talks

  1. Re: your recent Forbes article “Best News On Climate You Never Heard: “Per capita” measures are a BS way to measure climate change mitigation efforts when population is increasing by ~81 million per year and carrying capacity is maybe 4 billion tops. Increasing population cancels out most mitigation efforts, sometimes within mere hours or days.
    Example: 10 people (5 couples) cause 50 tons of ghg per year each (way low estimate)
    (10×50=500 tons/year total)

    Improvements reduce the “per capita” amount to 40 tons per year each
    (10×40=400 tons/year total)

    But 2 of those couples have 2 kids,
    adding 4 people to the existing 10
    Now at 14 people x 40 tons per year each =
    560 tons/year total


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